See – ‘Game Theory #18: Trump World Order’: https://lnkd.in/ezc73eZ7
Extract from my 2022 post – ‘Engineering Convergence through Mediation – Can we put the Genie back into the bottle?’
‘As a guest attending the King’s College London School of Security Studies Annual Conference on the 8th and 9th June 2022, I asked a question related to what was then my research interest in ‘Transforming Geo-Political Conflict Through Mediation’.
My Q. ‘Is understanding what lies underneath competing narratives [‘N’] the key to Mediation of a peace process in a conflict?’
i.e. can analysis of ‘N’ reveal:
(i) the philosophy and political doctrine driving a conflict on each side; and
(ii) psychological biases which are road-blocks in geo-political mediation?
Answer: I drew the following conclusions from the comments made by the speakers in reply:
(i) Mediation is not possible where a participant [‘P’], i.e. ‘P.1’ requires the destruction of the other P – i.e. ‘P.2’, because the values and interests underlying ‘N’ collide [‘C’].
(ii) Mediation is possible where they potentially overlap and can cohere.
(iii) Where a P.1 is a nuclear power [‘PN’], the use of nuclear weapons is a very real potential outcome in C – one speaker thought this was almost an ‘inevitability’ (which is what Professor John Mearsheimer has been warning since 2014 and as recently as May 2022).
Therefore, before undertaking a step in Mediation each P needs to first see the world through the eyes of the other.
If P.1 views the world through a rose-tinted geo-political lens, it will be looking inwards and not outward, in which case the outcome is likely to be strategic miscalculation, i.e. if the result is a mischaracterization of N by P.1, because P.1 either:
(i) does not understand N; or
(ii) does not believe that N is real, actually exists in the psychology of P.2, and therefore is deeply embedded in P.2’s existential political Doctrine.
This incongruence dooms Mediation from the start, because P.1 cannot even see where the ‘rails’ of the underlying and causal political dispute actually are, let alone the direction in which the train is going.’
I never imagined that four years later the US [P.1] would launch an illegal war of aggression against Iran [P.2], which could result in the use of a nuclear weapon by Israel.
Based upon the above wisdom I received at King’s, I do not believe that this armed conflict is capable of Mediation.
On the contrary, I expect the conflict to escalate and spread.
Meanwhile, I invite Mediators on LinkedIn to think about:
(i) ‘N’;
(ii) who the architects of ‘N’ are;
(iii) the underlying ‘dynamic interests’ driving the conflict; and
(iv) who is geopolitically ‘pulling the strings’ of P.1 – because I do not think that Trump is intellectually capable of ‘8-dimensional chess’, let alone of ‘Grand Strategy.’
See also – https://lnkd.in/eser7K_7
See also – https://www.amazon.co.uk/dp/1917646267?ref=ppx_yo2ov_dt_b_fed_asin_title, – which is my Easter weekend reading!
I wonder if such a Political Thery could in relation ‘geopolitical convergence’, advocate universal principles of global ‘Fiduciary Governance’?, which could include preservation of Cultural Heritage and Monuments, and of course the Environment – which are linked.
Note that Cultural Heritage is entwined with UNESCO’s broader mandate concerning human rights, the rule of law, development, and peace.
Cultural identity is considered to part of human dignity. It is linked to human rights because cultural heritage is of crucial importance to individuals and communities as part of their identity.
As cultural heritage requires memory, this applies to both tangible and intangible heritage, because material and physical heritage needs to be placed in both a historical and cultural context, in order to understand its value.
The cultural heritage of a people is not limited to the tangible expressions of art, architecture, religion, poetry, or writing in general but also includes its intangible heritage, which is transmitted from generation to generation, is constantly recreated by communities and groups in response to their environment, their interaction with nature and their history, and provides them with a sense of identity and continuity.
More generally, cultural heritage includes the expressions of the people’s spirituality, and the body of values which give meaning to life.
See also:
Joe Kent: Iran War, Israeli Influence & Creating ISIS –
YouTube