‘Will the 25th Amendment be invoked or will Trump be impeached?’

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For a robust analysis by Professor Pape of Chicago University (https://lnkd.in/ebxBtNhC), of the far reaching ‘geopolitical’ consequences of Trump’s ‘Genocidal Statement’ on Tuesday, see – https://lnkd.in/eP2quiYF.

Extract from the Transcript of the discussion with Professor Pape –

‘Trump [said] … tonight a great civilization is going to die.

That is going to leave a permanent or at least a very long-term mark on our geopolitics.

We need to understand that no president in the history of the United States has made a statement threatening to erase, destroy, kill an entire civilization.

Point number one, that is the evidence of genocidal intent that’s required in the Geneva Accords to convict for genocide.

We need to understand that the genocide accords that we have [are] about the intent to commit genocide.

Usually, that’s the hardest thing to find.

It’s not the killing of people, it’s the intent.

Well, President Trump, I don’t think there could be a clearer evidence of genocidal intent than you just saw.

Number two, President Trump is one of only a handful of people on the planet with enough nuclear weapons [to] be able to actually execute that threat. …

So I’m sorry to be so blunt but we need to really understand that what Donald Trump has done here is immoral.

It it is very likely I’m not a lawyer very likely to contradict the Geneva Accords.

But it’s also dangerous because now every American is marked here and this will be wherever we travel in the world.

This is not trivial. …

So this is really an enormously consequential move by President Trump and it will do no good that he will somehow maybe take it back or his supporters will say it’s just Trump being Trump. No, I’m sorry, not everybody who’s a drunk at a bar has their finger on thousands of nuclear weapons that can be delivered within a matter of an hour or less as I’m explaining in detail.

This is way too consequential and this will have tremendous ripple effects across the world.’ …

As a result of Trump’s ‘Genocidal Statement’:

1. Will the 25th Amendment be invoked or will Trump be impeached?

2. Which members of the US Congress are now likely to hitch their wagon to Trump in the run-up to the mid-term elections?, i.e. by endorsing or excusing Trump’s stated intention to commit a Genocide against over 94 million people.

3. Is Trump therefore already in effect, a lame duck President? – In other words has Trump already lost his Presidency?

4. Which allies of the US will risk, in the eye’s of the world, becoming tarnished by the same brush? – i.e. will America’s allies now diplomatically distance themselves as far as they can from Trump’s Administration?

If Trump is politically finished, then why would they support him?

So, geopolitically, the consequences of Trump’s words appear to be catastrophic for America’s place in the world order, i.e. for the ‘global balance of power’.

Please note that this post in written solely in my capacity as a graduate of one of the UK’s top schools of Political Science, and not in any professional capacity whatsoever, as either a legal practitioner of mediator. My views are of course entirely my own.

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